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Cirilium Blend quarterly commentary – Review of Q2 2026

Date: 30 July 2026

Suitable for customers and investors

Our market summary

The second quarter of 2026 marked a sharp turnaround for investors, find out more by reading our market summary.

Read the market summary

Performance review

The Cirilium Blend Portfolios delivered positive returns over the second quarter of 2026, with returns ranging from 4.4% for the Conservative Blend Portfolio, through to 12.6% for the Adventurous Blend Portfolio. Expectations of a resolution of the conflict between the US and Iran, combined with a more positive outlook for AI related companies, led to significant returns for equities, which were the key driver of returns for the portfolios. Our tactical asset allocation was a positive overall, but manager selection was a detractor. Broadly, our underperformance was concentrated in those markets and managers who remained underweight AI.

The performance figures shown refer to past performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

How our equity holdings performed

Risk sentiment rebounds

A ceasefire announcement to the US-Iran conflict made in early April allowed markets to focus on corporate earnings reports through April and May. Overall, markets were able to enjoy strong performance as earnings delivery remained robust. Accordingly, higher growth holdings like the Sands Capital US Select Growth Fund outperformed their own growth-focused benchmarks, while value-oriented holdings like the Quilter Investors Global Equity Value Fund underperformed.

AI fever hits Asia

US companies were not the only AI beneficiary with South Korean stocks Samsung and SK Hynix among the big winners in the second quarter. This helped drive returns in the Pacific North of South EM All Cap Equity Fund, which was up by 24.5% over the quarter. Japanese equity managers were also able to benefit, with the M&G Japan Fund generating a 20.6% return, well ahead of the 13.5% of the broad Japanese equity market.

Style rotation

It was a different story for the UK and developed Pacific ex Japan equities, which were laggards over the second quarter. The Invesco UK Opportunities and J O Hambro UK Dynamic funds did manage to outperform their benchmarks but given the lack of tech names in the region, they only managed to return 4.6% and 7.9%, respectively.

How our fixed-income holdings performed

Rate repricing

Our fixed income holdings delivered positive returns overall, led by UK-focused strategies as falling gilt yields boosted bond prices. Globally, returns were more mixed, with yields rising in the US and Japan as markets priced in the prospect of further interest rate increases. Despite this headwind, the Amundi Core Global Government Bond ETF still delivered a modest positive return. Corporate bonds fared better, as improving investor sentiment drove credit spreads tighter, resulting in particularly strong performance from as the Schroder Strategic Bond Fund.

How our alternatives holdings performed

Stock pickers drive returns

Our alternatives holdings were up over the quarter, led by our allocation to long/short equity managers. The dispersion of returns (both positive and negative) across different sectors and companies provided a strong backdrop for stock pickers, with the Cooper Creek North America Long Short Equity Fund standing out with a return of 15.3% over the quarter. Elsewhere, performance was more mixed, Inflation-linked strategies detracted as falling commodity prices weighed on returns from the L&G Multi-Strategy  Enhanced Commodities Fund and the iShares Physical Gold ETC.

Portfolio activity

Following the spike in market volatility caused by the US-Iran conflict in March, we had reduced our equity beta before adding back to risk assets in early April. Anticipating another strong earnings season for US technology companies, we established a modest growth overweight to help offset our broader underweight to the largest growth companies. We also increased our emerging market equities allocation on the back of sustained earnings momentum, while exiting our healthcare overweight due to weaker earnings delivery. In fixed income, we introduced an underweight to government bonds and further increased our underweight to UK government bonds.

New holdings

  • Quilter Investors Long-Short Equity
    We added this high conviction long/short equity strategy to the portfolios. The fund is managed by a team at J.P. Morgan who have been running similar strategies successfully for several decades The fund benefits from the scale and quality of J.P. Morgan to blend qualitative and quantitative analysis to drive global stock picks.
  • Quilter Investors UK Equity Growth
    We have allocated to this UK strategy as our preferred way of getting growth exposure. The investment adviser, Jupiter, looks to own companies that generate high return on investment and have tailwinds that allow for structural growth.
  • BNY Mellon Global Short-Dated High Yield Bond
    This fund replaces the AXA US Short Duration High Yield Fund. The team’s overall philosophy and process could lead to a more preferred return outcome than the more defensive philosophy of AXA. 
  • Invesco MSCI North America Swap ETF
    We have added this passive fund to improve our tracking to our strategic asset allocation.
  • Logica Asymmetric Beta
    This defensive equity strategy combines US equity exposure and a defensive option overlay, which will provide downside defence in a cost-effective way.

Removed holdings

  • Premier Miton US Opportunities
    We lost conviction in the strategy following a period of weak performance and several team changes.
  • AXA US Short Duration High Yield
    This fund was removed in favour of the BNY Mellon Global Short-Dated High Yield Bond Fund.

Investment outlook

Markets have enjoyed an exceptional run, driven by enthusiasm around AI, resilient economic growth, and a corporate earnings backdrop that continues to exceed expectations. However, after such strong returns, it is worth ensuring the fundamental case remains sound. Below are some factors that we are considering.

How much should you pay for high growth?

Valuations look expensive across most major equity regions, although this is partly justified by the strength of corporate fundamentals. Earnings continue to rise, growth forecasts remain robust, and profit margins have proven remarkably resilient. The key challenge is that expectations are now extremely high. As the upcoming earnings season begins, companies will need to deliver another round of strong results to justify current valuations.

Digestion issues

Momentum remains supportive, but signs of crowding are beginning to emerge. A few blockbuster IPOs (including the recently listed SpaceX) will increase equity supply just as investor positioning in AI-related themes appears increasingly full. New issues need funding and when lockups expire it may create additional selling pressure if founders and early investors rush for the exit.

Expectations and outcomes

From a macroeconomic perspective, markets appear very relaxed about inflation risks. Effects of the US-Iran conflict have been assumed as temporary, and bond markets appear confident that inflation will continue to moderate. However, the events of 2022 demonstrated that macro shocks can take time to feed through the system. For now, markets are pricing a benign outcome which risks disappointment.

Portfolio managers

Ian Jensen-Humphreys

Portfolio Manager

Sacha Chorley

Portfolio Manager

CJ Cowan

Portfolio Manager

Solutions

View the full range of multi-asset investment solutions offering a choice of outcomes at different risk and diversification levels.

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Important Information

The value of investments can fall as well as rise. You might get back less than you invested.

This communication is issued by Quilter, a trading name of Quilter Investment Platform Limited

The Quilter Investors Cirilium Conservative Portfolio, Quilter Investors Cirilium Balanced Portfolio, Quilter Investors Cirilium Moderate Portfolio, Quilter Investors Cirilium Dynamic Portfolio, and Quilter Investors Cirilium Adventurous Portfolio are sub-funds of Quilter Investors Cirilium OEIC, an investment company with variable capital incorporated in England and Wales. Quilter Investors Cirilium OEIC is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority as a non-UCITS retail scheme and can be distributed to the public in the United Kingdom.

Approver: Quilter July 2026

QIP 24003_25_16143