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Delivering good outcomes

Date: 01 May 2024

Thanks to the changing regulatory backdrop, managing portfolios for your clients and delivering good outcomes is increasingly demanding extensive research resources.

There are a number of things to consider when creating an efficient investment process and constructing your portfolios for your clients. In today’s post-Consumer Duty world, the acid test is being able to demonstrate that, at every stage of the investment process, your business is striving to deliver the very best possible outcomes for your clients. However, evidencing that your clients are front and centre of your investment decision-making is a lot more nuanced than it might first appear.

A patchwork of returns

You can see some of the challenges involved when you look at the investment quilt below. This ranks the performance of key global asset classes each year over the last decade. It reinforces the difficulty of picking investment winners as we move through different stages of the investment cycle. There is no guarantee that the investment that is top one year will perform well the next, so trying to time the market and pick the winners of tomorrow is nearly impossible.

Image of patchwork of investments

Image of Andy Miller'For many advice firms, this level of forensic investment analysis, continuous monitoring, and ongoing governance is not possible due to the financial and time costs involved.'

Andy Miller, Lead Investment Director, Quilter

20:20 hindsight

At the start of 2020 , amid the first global lockdowns, we faced a highly volatile and disinflationary environment. Some market drawdowns were the steepest since the 2007-08 global financial crisis. However, global equities and bonds rebounded robustly, while alternatives and inflation-hedging assets lagged. Significant fund switching occurred, with shifts from diversified multi-asset portfolios to global equity and bond funds.

In 2023, global markets again experienced significant volatility due to geopolitical tensions, fluctuating energy prices, and ongoing inflation concerns. After initial dips, global equities rebounded strongly, driven by robust corporate earnings and economic recovery efforts.

A more recent example of the benefits of staying invested can be seen in the market fluctuations of late 2024 and early 2025. During this period, US equities experienced several price swings due to varying macroeconomic conditions, including inflation expectations, growth data, and Federal Reserve commentary. Despite the volatility, US equities remained at all-time highs.

Reflecting on these examples, it becomes clear that staying diversified, trusting the investment process, ignoring market noise, and engaging clients on the benefits of staying invested is the prudent approach. As the saying goes, hindsight is a wonderful thing.

 

Lifting the lid

However, it is not just about picking the right asset class. The risks of poor outcomes for your clients arising from picking the wrong fund in a portfolio are all too real.

A fund may look like the right choice, but many things can potentially go wrong under the bonnet of an investment, which is why robust due diligence is required.

This is about being able to identify ‘red flags’ both pre- and post-investment and being able to evidence robust due diligence and governance of the process at every stage.

Investment due diligence goes much further than just performance analysis. It amounts to forensically dissecting the various segments of your portfolios and having the resources in place to regularly review and adjust exposures on an ongoing basis.

This includes evidencing the processes that underpin how you select and monitor funds and their managers. It also includes demonstrating governance arrangements of your firm and providing full transparency around any portfolio changes.

Most importantly, it requires you to be able to lift the bonnet on your portfolios at any time, to demonstrate an understanding of how each component part is managed, and how you identify and manage any potential red flags that might arise.

 

Avoiding foreseeable harm to your clients

We have also seen in recent times of how a style change by an underlying manager can result in a broad range of outcomes and, in some cases, foreseeable harm to investors. To stay on top of this potential risk, you need the expertise and resources to monitor every fund you select in in your portfolios to ensure that a change of style or approach by a manager does not result in a poor outcome for your clients.

If you do not have these capabilities, you are at a material disadvantage. Thanks to the regulatory backdrop, it is only a matter of time before advisers without such research and analysis capabilities find themselves inadvertently liable to cause foreseeable harm. Ultimately, avoiding foreseeable harm to your clients is not about predicting the future, it is about anticipating what could happen, and having the right procedures in place to act effectively, if things go wrong.

For many advice firms, this level of forensic investment analysis, continuous monitoring, and ongoing governance simply is not possible due to the financial and time costs involved.

 

Andrew Miller

Lead Investment Director

Andy is the lead investment director heading up the investment director team at Quilter. Andy joined Quilter in 2015 from Architas having previously held senior distribution roles at life offices and fund managers, including 10 years at Prudential.

Andy is a chartered financial planner, a fellow of the Personal Finance Society, and holds the CFA ESG certificate.