On Tuesday (21 Jun) Germany’s BDI industry association slashed its forecast for German economic growth in 2022 from 3.5% to 1.5%, stressing that any further disruption to Russian gas supplies would make a German recession inevitable.
Previously, the EU relied on Russia for 40% of its gas supply. For Germany, the figure was 55% but, currently, Germany’s vital Nord Stream 1 pipeline under the Baltic, is down to just 40% capacity.
Meanwhile global gas prices have sky-rocketed over the last year; Europe’s benchmark gas price was trading at around €123 (per megawatt/hour) on Tuesday, a rise of over 300% on a year ago after it peaked at €335 euros earlier this year.
In common with Denmark, Austria, the Netherlands and Italy, Germany has now activated the first stage of its three-stage plan to cope with a gas-supply crisis. In Germany’s case, this entails a new auction system to encourage reduced gas consumption from manufacturers. Meanwhile, other states have reversed plans to shut down coal-powered plants.